Thursday, June 12, 2008

Fear Factor

Every now and then, I write stuff for magazines and newspapers and the following is one of the pieces I wrote some time ago. With all the fear pervading financial markets nowadays, I think that it is critical that we keep our heads cool and not panic unnecessarily.

Fear Factor

A common sentiment I hear from people these days is that though they would very much like to invest, they are afraid to do so. They are afraid that if they invest in things like stocks, mutual funds, pre-need plans or UITF’s, they will lose their money. Consequently, they keep the majority of their funds in savings accounts or time deposits since those are the products that they are familiar with. Unfortunately, this type of thinking only ensures that an individual will never be able to accumulate enough cash or assets to ensure a prosperous life. To illustrate, let me use this brief analogy.

Let’s say you live in Fairview and would like to go to Enchanted Kingdom for a day of fun and relaxation. Ideally, the best thing to do would be to wake up early and drive there. That way you get to spend the maximum amount of time at the park before it closes. If you don’t have your own vehicle or don’t want to have to deal with the hassle of driving but still want to spend the most amount of time at the park, the next best thing would be to wake up earlier and commute to the park. I don’t think anyone would consider going to Enchanted Kingdom from Fairview by walking there. Not only would you arrive very, very late but I doubt you would be in much shape to enjoy all the attractions the park has to offer. Actually, there’s a very good chance you will be unable to reach the park at all due to sheer physical exhaustion.

Now, regardless of the method of travel you choose, there is a realistic chance that something will go wrong and you will either arrive at the park late or not at all. Your car’s radiator could overheat or the bus you are riding could get a flat tire. As a worst case scenario, the vehicle you are riding in could actually get hit by another car and mess up the trip completely. All of these events could happen and not a day goes by wherein someone, somewhere, gets a flat tire, an overheated radiator or gets involved in a collision. But would you actually let these things stop you? Would the possibility of being involved in a vehicular accident dissuade you from either riding or driving a motor vehicle forever? Would you let the fear of a possible accident determine where and what places you can go to?

Believe it or not, the process of investing is very much like the situation I just described above. To begin with, we all have our own vision of Enchanted Kingdom – the life we would like to have wherein we are free from the day-to-day cares and worries of life.

Second, the time at which we wake up and begin the trip is the time wherein we begin to invest actively for our personal goals. Simply put, the earlier you start on your journey, the earlier you will get to your destination. Furthermore, starting early gives one the luxury of taking things slowly. We don’t have to rush and can take the time to enjoy the trip. Most importantly though, starting early gives one a buffer zone that can definitely come in handy should a flat tire or some other emergency arise.

Third, the mode of transport we use equates to the investment products we pick – stocks are like cars (fast and expensive); pooled funds are like public transport (slower but cheaper) and savings accounts / time deposits are akin to walking. Of course, much as there is no intrinsically “best” form of transport, there is also no intrinsically “best” form of investment. Instead, there are “suitable” or “efficient” investments. To be more precise, much like it would be more efficient to walk short distances, so are time deposits and savings accounts more efficient than stocks for short-term needs.

Fourth, the type of transport we select determines how involved we have to be in the investment process. For example, if we regularly travel by car, it would be in our best interest to keep the car well maintained. However, as any car owner will tell you, properly maintaining a car takes time and money. It simply will not take care of itself. Stocks require the same amount of involvement. Ask any successful stock trader and they will tell you that maintaining a stock portfolio takes quite a bit of time and money. One cannot simply enter the market and expect everything to work as they expected.

Fifth, much like something can always go wrong on a trip, no investment instrument is 100% risk free. There is always a chance that, no matter how carefully you’ve planned things out, something somewhere will go terribly wrong and mess things up. For example, let’s say you decide to drive to your destination. Now, you’ve properly maintained your car and you drive as carefully as you can. Unfortunately, there is very little you can do to prepare for the drunk driver on the other lane who decides to slam his vehicle into yours. The same thing holds for investing. No matter how well you plan your portfolio, events outside of your control can suddenly just step in and wipe out most of your holdings. (Example: Asian Financial Crisis of the 90’s.)

With all of that said, what can we then do to eliminate or minimize whatever fear we have of investing? Well, much like we would learn to drive a car or memorize the different routes jeeps and buses ply, so must we exert the effort to learn about stocks and other investment tools. To put it bluntly, it is only through education that we can master our fears and prevent them from limiting the kinds of lives and the kinds of dreams we can achieve.

Something new....

Well folks, here it is. After months of procrastinating and several false starts, here is the blog that friends and family have been needling me to do for some time now. For those who know me, you pretty much know what you'll find here since you guys have been the ones "suggesting" what topics I should write about. For the random (and not so random) visitor, here is what you can expect.

First, you will get lots of pictures of my upcoming baby boy. He's due to arrive sometime within the next three weeks and I am frankly both terrified and delirious with joy. As of now, we've decided to name him Rune (since Frodo wasn't acceptable to anyone but me). So in about 3 weeks, look for pictures of a hopefully cute and healthy little boy to start peppering this site.

Second, you will get some links and reactions to other sites and issues that I will find on the Net. Since I am online for most of the day, expect to get a hodge-podge of postings on stuff like Philippine entertainment, U.S. politics, tech stuff, computer games, sports and pretty much anything else I will run into while surfing.

Lastly, the bulk of the postings here will deal with personal financial planning in the Philippines. Specifically, I will be writing about how the average, middle-class Filipino can begin taking control of their personal finances. My goal here is to give people a venue wherein they can learn about personal investing in a very non-technical and easy-to-understand way.

So without further ado, let's get cracking with my first bunch of posts....